[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Jan 3 02:22:05 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 030223
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030222 
SCZ000-GAZ000-030345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0028
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0822 PM CST MON JAN 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN GA THROUGH SRN SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 11...

VALID 030222Z - 030345Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES...
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FROM E CNTRL GA
INTO SRN SC NEXT 2-3 HOURS. HIGHEST SHORT TERM TORNADO POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE WITH SUPERCELL ON SRN END OF LINE OVER E CNTRL GA.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO EXTREME SRN SC AROUND 03Z. 

CLUSTER OF STORMS FROM CNTRL SC SWWD INTO E CNTRL GA CONTINUES EWD.
THIS ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING WITHIN ZONE OF ASCENT/CVA ACCOMPANYING A
VORT MAX THAT IS MOVING THROUGH BASE OF UPPER TROUGH INTO ERN GA.
THE BOUNDARY LAYER DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS ACTIVITY ACROSS SRN SC IS
LESS UNSTABLE. HOWEVER...A THERMAL TROUGH ACCOMPANYING THE VORT MAX
SHOULD CONTINUE TO RESULT IN SOME EWD DESTABILIZATION AND MAY HELP
ACTIVITY TO PERSIST INTO SRN SC NEXT COUPLE HOURS. HIGHEST POTENTIAL
FOR TORNADOES APPEARS TO BE WITH ANY STORMS ON THE SRN END OF THE
LINE WHERE STORM RELATIVE INFLOW IS ORIGINATING FROM HIGHER THETA-E
AIR.

..DIAL.. 01/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...

32688182 32968149 32658081 32268096 32308166 

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