[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jan 2 21:49:26 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 022150
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022149 
FLZ000-GAZ000-022315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0024
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0349 PM CST MON JAN 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN FL PNHDL EWD ACROSS NRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 7...

VALID 022149Z - 022315Z

POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING ACROSS SRN PORTION OF WW
008 AREA...AND PERHAPS E OF WW TOWARD ST. AUGUSTINE.

AS OF 2135Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED CLUSTERS OF STRONG
TSTMS FROM APPROXIMATELY 40 S OF TLH TO 40 NNE CTY WITH A ENEWD
STORM MOTION OF 30-35 KTS.  DESPITE SOME BOUNDARY-LAYER DRYING...AIR
MASS REMAINS RELATIVELY WARM AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES OF
1000-1500 J/KG.  MOREOVER...JACKSONVILLE VWP INDICATES 0-1 KM SRH OF
150-200 M2/S2 WITH 45-55 KTS OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR.  

GIVEN THIS COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND INSTABILITY...THE THREAT FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL EXIST WITH ANY EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES.

..MEAD.. 01/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

29398466 30108388 30448304 30458175 30238139 29938133
29518212 29158350 

WWWW