[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jan 2 00:37:53 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 020038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020038 
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-020445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0004
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 PM CST SUN JAN 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL AND SE SD/NE NEB INTO FAR SRN MN/FAR NRN IA

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 

VALID 020038Z - 020445Z

INCREASING AREAL COVERAGE OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR
SCNTRL AND SE SD...NORTHEAST NEB...INTO FAR SRN MN/FAR NRN IA THIS
EVENING. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR HOURLY LIQUID EQUIVALENT RATES OF
0.05 IN/HR...WITH SOME ICE ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.

ORGANIZED/ARCING DEFORMATION BAND PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING ACROSS
WRN/CNTRL SD...WCNTRL NEB...AND FAR NRN IA ON NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
CYCLONE CENTERED ACROSS ERN KS. AS THIS SCENARIO CONTINUES THIS
EVENING...21Z RUC SOUNDINGS/LATEST SREF CONSENSUS SUGGEST AN E/SE
EXTRAPOLATION OF THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR A CORRIDOR OF
PREDOMINANT FREEZING RAIN. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY NEAR 850 MB MELTING
LAYER LOCATED ABOVE NEAR/SUB-FREEZING SURFACE TEMPERATURES. POCKETS
OF FREEZING RAIN SHOULD GRADUALLY DEVELOP E/SE ACROSS FAR SCNTRL/SE
SD INTO NE NEB/FAR SRN MN/FAR NRN IA THROUGH 06Z...WITH POTENTIAL
FOR SOME ICE ACCUMULATION.

..GUYER.. 01/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...ABR...LBF...UNR...

43949364 43249337 42859570 42099722 41829843 42389995
43450156 44270161 44710018 44109953 43739792 

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