[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 032210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032210 
FLZ000-032345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0113
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0410 PM CST FRI FEB 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 032210Z - 032345Z

ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA. A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER WILL MONITOR DEVELOPMENTAL TRENDS.

STRONG/POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTM -- AROUND 30 SW APF/NAPLES AT 22Z --
APPEARS LIKELY TO REACH THE SOUTHWEST FL PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO. WITH COMPOSITE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ROUGHLY STALLED NORTH OF
A NAPLES TO PALM BEACH CORRIDOR...THIS STORM APPEARS LIKELY TO REACH
THE SOUTHERN COLLIER OR PERHAPS NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY COAST BY
AROUND 2300-2330Z. WITH A RELATIVELY MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
EXISTING ACROSS SOUTHERN FL...VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE FAVORABLE
FOR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES PER 21Z RUC SOUNDINGS/LOCAL WSR-88D
VWPS...WITH A DAMAGING WIND AND/OR PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT EARLY THIS EVENING.

..GUYER.. 02/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...

26028185 26248155 26538080 26908012 26288005 25658087
25538130 

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