[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 272330
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272329 
KSZ000-NEZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-280100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1903
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0629 PM CDT SUN AUG 27 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...SWRN NEB...WRN KS...NERN NM...WRN
PANHANDLES OF TX AND OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 754...

VALID 272329Z - 280100Z

LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED SEVERE WIND THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ERN
AND SRN PORTIONS OF THE WW. AN ADDITIONAL WW IS UNLIKELY FURTHER E
OF CURRENT WW...WITH WEAKER INSTABILITY ACROSS N-CNTRL KS/S-CNTRL
NEB. SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE RAPIDLY DIMINISHING BEHIND THE
MID-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS. THUS...MUCH OF CO MAY BE CLEARED FROM THE
WATCH BY 00Z.

ONGOING STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE TSTMS HAVE PROGRESSED ACROSS
SWRN NEB/NWRN KS AND MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE EXITING THE WW IN
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A SEVERE
WIND GUST OR TWO WILL EXIST WITH THIS ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...THESE
TSTMS SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THEY MOVES E INTO A MORE STABLE AIR
MASS ACROSS S-CNTRL NEB/N-CNTRL KS. FURTHER W...CONVECTION HAS
DIMINISHED ACROSS MUCH OF ERN CO...EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF THE
UPPER-LOW CENTERED NEAR SNY. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNLIKELY
WITH PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL DRYING UNDER NW WINDS EVIDENT N OF THE
PALMER DIVIDE. TSTMS ACROSS NERN NM/FAR NWRN TX PANHANDLE CONTINUE
TO BUILD SWD ALONG CONVECTIVELY GENERATED OUTFLOW. CONVERGENCE INTO
THIS BOUNDARY IS WEAK...HOWEVER ISOLATED HAIL/WIND GUSTS WILL STILL
BE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

..GRAMS.. 08/27/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

40509900 39839884 38389970 37160044 36250102 35480180
35410367 35730472 36950462 38180363 39540281 40780277
41250211 41180031 41089949 

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