[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Aug 24 11:24:39 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 241127
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241126 
MIZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-241230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1866
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0626 AM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SRN WI...NRN IL...FAR NW IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 738...

VALID 241126Z - 241230Z

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT CURRENTLY ONGOING WITH AN MCS ACROSS NRN
IL AND SRN WI WILL LIKELY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A WW
SOUTH OF THE WW 738 IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING WNWWD FROM
SRN LOWER MI THROUGH SRN WI INTO FAR SRN MN. AN MCS IS ONGOING NEAR
AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY ALONG AN AXIS OF MODERATE MID-LEVEL
INSTABILITY. THE MCS IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A WSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET AND
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD INTO NWRN IND OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THIS
MORNING...THE MCS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD AWAY FROM THE AXIS OF
STRONGEST INSTABILITY. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A WEAKENING TREND WITH
ANY HAIL AND/OR WIND DAMAGE THREAT BECOMING INCREASINGLY MARGINAL
AFTER DAYBREAK.

..BROYLES.. 08/24/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...MKX...DVN...

41078793 41158859 41638910 42188974 42709002 42998964
43088897 42608755 41928675 41408689 41168705 41028736 

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