[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Aug 24 01:03:40 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 240105
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240105 
NDZ000-SDZ000-240230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1861
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0805 PM CDT WED AUG 23 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...W CENTRAL AND SWRN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 240105Z - 240230Z

ISOLATED STORMS CONTINUE ACROSS WRN ND...WITH ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT BEGINNING JUST E OF THE ND/MT BORDER.  WW MAY BE
REQUIRED.

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A LONE SUPERCELL STORM MOVING SEWD INTO
NERN HETTINGER COUNTY ATTM...WITH A RECENT STORM SPLIT NOTED.  THIS
HIGH-BASED STORM IS OCCURRING ALONG SWRN FRINGE OF MORE
MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NWRN ND. 
MEANWHILE...OTHER STORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER NRN
BILLINGS...MCKENZIE...AND DUNN COUNTIES -- LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO
MODEST ESELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW NOTED ON AREA VWP/PROFILER DATA.

WITH NAM/RUC SUGGESTING SOME INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL JET OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR.  HOWEVER...CAP
INDICATED ON EVENING BIS RAOB SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT OVERALL
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE.  WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY JUST E OF CURRENT
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD FAVORABLE FOR
SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS...ANY APPRECIABLE INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE
WOULD LIKELY WARRANT NEW WW.

..GOSS.. 08/24/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...

45930271 46790356 47920370 47970219 47460038 46909986
46200015 46020148 

WWWW