[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Aug 3 22:21:05 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 032222
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032222 
PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-032345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1734
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0522 PM CDT THU AUG 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN-SERN OH/WRN-SWRN OH/NRN WV/FAR WRN MD PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 682...683...

VALID 032222Z - 032345Z

THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS TO CONTINUE ACROSS ERN OH/WRN PA AND
DEVELOP SEWD INTO PARTS OF NRN WV AND FAR WRN MD PANHANDLE.  

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED THE STRONGEST STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE FROM NOBLE TO HOCKING COUNTIES OH WITH THIS ACTIVITY MOVING TO
THE SE AT 20 KT.  THIS ACTIVITY MAY BE SUSTAINED FOR A FEW MORE
HOURS AS A MODEST SWLY LLJ CONTINUES TO PROVIDE A FEED OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY INTO THE SW FLANK OF THE UPPER OH VALLEY MCS.  STORM
ORGANIZATION WILL BE LIMITED AS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO MOVE SSE OF
WW/S 682/683 AWAY FROM STRONGER EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES.

FARTHER TO THE NE...THUNDERSTORMS WEAKENED AS THEY MOVED EWD INTO
WRN PA WHERE THE AIR MASS IS MARGINALLY UNSTABLE.  THIS TREND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...GIVEN THE MINIMUM IN INSTABILITY EXTENDING
ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN/ALLEGHENY FRONT IN WRN PA SWWD TO
CENTRAL/ERN WV.

..PETERS.. 08/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

39498314 39798294 40308168 41668071 41817984 41587847
40367856 39747885 39137920 38398033 38218144 38538230 

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