[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 030134
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030134 
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-030300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1719
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0834 PM CDT WED AUG 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MI...FAR NRN IN AND NWRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 030134Z - 030300Z

STORMS CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ACROSS SRN MI ALONG FRONT AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR SEVERE LEVELS THROUGH THE EVENING. A WW MAY
BE REQUIRED.

00Z DTX SOUNDING SHOWS STRONG INSTABILITY IN PLACE WITH LITTLE
INHIBITION. WSWLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL PERSIST AND WILL CONTINUE TO
FUEL STORMS AS THEY SHIFT SEWD. SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN MARGINAL FOR
SUPERCELLS BUT SLIGHT VEERING IN THE LOWEST 1 KM ALONG WITH SPEED
SHEAR IS PRODUCING 0-1 SRH VALUES OF 100-150 M2/S2...SUGGEST SOME
LOW LEVEL ROTATION IS LIKELY WHICH MAY ENHANCE WIND DAMAGE
POTENTIAL. GIVEN VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT...ONLY MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

..JEWELL.. 08/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...LOT...

42058689 42928297 42678268 41578344 41248509 41218699 

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