[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Sat Aug 26 03:01:26 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 260302
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260302 
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-NEZ000-TXZ000-260430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1889
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1002 PM CDT FRI AUG 25 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AND ERN KS/WRN MO/NRN OK/NRN TX PNHDL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 748...750...

VALID 260302Z - 260430Z

WIDESPREAD STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS WW AREAS --
PARTICULARLY OVER NERN KS.

EVENING TOPEKA KS RAOB INDICATED A FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE CAPE/SHEAR
COMBINATION...WITH 2000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE STILL IN PLACE OVER ERN
KS ACCORDING TO LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS.  MOST INTENSE STORMS
REMAIN ACROSS NERN KS ATTM...WITH SEVERAL ROTATING UPDRAFTS/LARGE
VIL CORES INDICATED BY AREA RADARS.  WITH LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASING
ACROSS SERN KS...EXPECT STRONG/SEVERE STORMS TO CONTINUE ACROSS ERN
KS.  EWD EXTENT SHOULD BE LIMITED BY LESS FAVORABLE INSTABILITY OVER
CENTRAL MO.  

MEANWHILE...SUFFICIENT SHEAR AND INSTABILITY EXTENDS SWWD ALONG COLD
FRONT ACROSS S CENTRAL KS AND INTO THE TX/OK PNHDLS TO SUPPORT A
CONTINUED SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THIS REGION.  A FURTHER EXPANSION IN
STORM COVERAGE OVER S CENTRAL AND SERN KS/FAR NRN OK IS EXPECTED AS
LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES.

..GOSS.. 08/26/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

36770191 38029803 40159665 39969412 38629386 36469536
35870118 36140214 

WWWW





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