[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Aug 2 00:00:03 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 020001
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020000 
NYZ000-020100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1697
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0700 PM CDT TUE AUG 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN NY...LONG ISLAND.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 665...

VALID 020000Z - 020100Z

CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ACROSS THIS REGION WAS STRONGLY TIED TO
DIABATIC HEATING SW OF NEW ENGLAND SFC WARM FRONT.  LAST FEW
REMAINING TSTMS ACROSS REGION HAVE PRODUCED GUST FRONTS THAT SURGED
WELL AHEAD OF CONVECTION ACROSS LONG ISLAND...WITH PARENT CELLS
DISSIPATING.  AS AIR MASS CONTINUES TO STABILIZE...PROBABILITIES FOR
ADDITIONAL SFC-BASED DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE TO DROP MARKEDLY. 
THEREFORE REMAINDER WW MAY BE CANCELED BEFORE SCHEDULED 1Z
EXPIRATION.

..EDWARDS.. 08/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OKX...

40487370 40687384 40987362 41007279 40827243 

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