[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Apr 15 01:14:14 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 150112
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150112 
VAZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-150245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0505
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0812 PM CDT FRI APR 14 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN-SERN OH/SW-SOUTH CENTRAL PA/WV/WRN-NRN VA/WRN
MD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 186...

VALID 150112Z - 150245Z

...EAST OF WW 186...
AREA OF STRONG-SEVERE STORMS EXTENDING FROM FAR SWRN PA THROUGH ERN
WV WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT OVERALL SEVERE
THREAT EXPECTED TO DECREASE AS THIS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO
THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  STABILIZATION PROCESS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ALONG/E OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS /EAST OF WW 186/ GIVEN THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING...AS HAS BEEN INDICATED ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL
VA DURING THE LAST HOUR /SINCE 2330Z/. GIVEN THIS TREND AND LIMITED
TIME/SPACE OF SEVERE THREAT EAST OF WW 186...A NEW WW IS NOT
WARRANTED.  STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES PER RNK/IAD 00Z
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS/HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGER CORES THROUGH 02-03Z.

...PART OF SOUTH CENTRAL OH/WRN WV...
AIR MASS ACROSS THIS PART OF WW 186 IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODERATELY
UNSTABLE SUPPORTING A CONTINUED THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS.  UPSTREAM
STORMS...CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS SWRN OH/SERN IND...SHOULD TRACK
ESE INTO SWRN PART OF WW 186 BY 02-03Z.

..PETERS.. 04/15/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...

39538266 39088087 40287902 39887777 38797761 37617895
36918031 37188152 38038268 38828278 

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