[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Apr 15 00:53:50 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 150051
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150051 
INZ000-ILZ000-150215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0504
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CDT FRI APR 14 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL IL INTO CENTRAL INDIANA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 150051Z - 150215Z

TORNADO WATCHES 185/187 CONTINUE UNTIL 05Z. PRIMARY TORNADO THREAT
/INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TORNADOES/ CONTINUES FROM
NORTHEAST IL/FAR EAST CENTRAL IL INTO CENTRAL INDIANA. A POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION MAY DEVELOP INTO THE INDIANAPOLIS METRO AREA BY
02Z/10 PM LOCAL TIME. 

SCATTERED SUPERCELLS /WITH HISTORY OF TORNADOES/ CONTINUE FROM
NORTHEAST IL INTO CENTRAL INDIANA AT THIS TIME. PRIMARY TORNADO
POTENTIAL...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY FOR A STRONG TORNADO OR
TWO...OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WILL REMAIN IN AREAS ALONG/JUST
NORTH OF QUASI-STATIONARY OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/EFFECTIVE BAROCLINIC ZONE
THAT IS ROUGHLY ORIENTED NW-SE FROM NEAR KANKAKEE IL INTO CENTRAL
INDIANA NEAR LAFAYETTE AND THE INDIANAPOLIS METRO AREA. 

AIDED BY A SUB-SYNOPTIC SURFACE LOW...THIS CORRIDOR IS CHARACTERIZED
BY A RATHER UNSTABLE AIRMASS /00Z LINCOLN IL RAOB/...BACKED LOW
LEVEL FLOW/ENLARGED LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS...AND A MOIST ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
INTENSE SUPERCELL IN MONTGOMERY/TIPPECANOE COUNTIES INDIANA MAY
APPROACH THE INDIANAPOLIS METRO AREA BY AROUND 02Z. VERY LARGE
HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS REMAINS POSSIBLE AS WELL WITH THESE ONGOING
SUPERCELLS.

..GUYER.. 04/15/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...DVN...

40339030 41138935 41668811 41008656 40348503 39158544
39138691 39588959 39849025 

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