[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Apr 7 02:28:59 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 070227
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070227 
TXZ000-OKZ000-070330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0450
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0927 PM CDT THU APR 06 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN INTO CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 156...

VALID 070227Z - 070330Z

SOME THREAT OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY PERSIST FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL TX.  AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

AS OF 02Z...MESOANALYSIS INDICATED PACIFIC COLD FRONT FROM E OF ADM
SWD THROUGH THE METROPLEX TO W OF TPL. STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS WHICH
HAVE PERSISTED FOR THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS FROM NEAR ACT TO AUS
HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST HALF HOUR...PRESUMABLY
OWING TO STRENGTHENING CAP ACROSS MODERATELY UNSTABLE...PRE-FRONTAL
AIRMASS.  

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE SRN FRINGE OF
LARGE-SCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH CNTRL PLAINS UPPER LOW IS
RAPIDLY SHIFTING NE OF THE REGION.  THUS...DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF
THE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG SHEAR PROFILES...IT APPEARS THAT
A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH.

..MEAD.. 04/07/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...

34049586 33969479 33409445 30869560 30239713 30259778
30949808 33999639 

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