[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 012209
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012208 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-020015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0393
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0408 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN KS / WRN OK / ERN TX PANHANDLE AND NW TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 121...

VALID 012208Z - 020015Z

THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE DAMAGING HAIL AS WELL.

STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP E OF DRYLINE WHERE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME
VERY UNSTABLE. SEVERAL CLUSTERS WERE NOTED ACROSS THE REGION...OVER
SWRN KS...NEAR BGD AND SW OF CDS AT 22Z. MORE DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY
OVER FAR WRN OK WHERE TCU ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING. 

AREA PROFILERS INDICATE STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS ALOFT WITH 50+ KT
MID LEVEL FLOW ABOVE 3 KM ACROSS W TX. LOW LEVEL JET/850 FLOW IS
ALSO INCREASING AND WILL PROVIDE AN INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS. THUS...STORM STRUCTURE SHOULD
BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH TIME...WITH THREAT OF TORNADOES
INCREASING WITH LOW LEVEL SHEAR.

..JEWELL.. 04/01/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

33779854 33780127 38190145 38199848 

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