[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 242018
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242018 
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-242215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0641
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH CENTRAL/EASTERN KS INTO FAR WESTERN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 242018Z - 242215Z

SEVERE POTENTIAL /WITH PRIMARY HAZARD OF LARGE HAIL/ IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL/EASTERN
KS...AND PERHAPS FAR WESTERN MO/FAR SOUTHEAST NEB. A WATCH MAY BE
NEEDED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.

THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH
CENTRAL INTO EASTERN KS...AND PERHAPS ADJACENT PORTIONS OF FAR
SOUTHEAST NEB/WESTERN MO...THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY BOTH IN VICINITY OF THE SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST
ORIENTED FRONTAL ZONE FROM WEST CENTRAL KS INTO WEST CENTRAL
IA...BUT ALSO WITH WARM ADVECTION ATOP THE RESIDUAL COLD POOL ACROSS
EASTERN KS VIA EARLY DAY CONVECTION. WITHIN THIS
CORRIDOR...POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE CONVECTION APPEARS
LIMITED...ESPECIALLY WITH NORTHWARD EXTENT. ACCORDINGLY...ELEVATED
CONVECTIVE MODE WILL LIKELY BE PREDOMINANT...WITH A PRIMARY HAZARD
OF LARGE HAIL. RUC PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS PORTRAY ELEVATED MUCAPE OF
500-1000 J/KG IN PRESENCE OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE/STRONG CLOUD
BEARING SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL.

..GUYER.. 04/24/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

38989797 39429786 40229640 39479415 38339390 37949573
38399728 

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