[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Apr 15 23:43:44 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 152341
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152341 
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-160115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0519
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 PM CDT SAT APR 15 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST SD/NORTHWEST IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 152341Z - 160115Z

SEVERE THREAT MAY DEVELOP THROUGH EARLY/MID EVENING ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST SD INTO NORTHWEST IA. ALTHOUGH A SEVERE TSTM WATCH IS NOT
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONVECTIVE TRENDS
ON NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF TORNADO WATCHES 190/192.

ARC OF STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS...WITH SOME EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND
HISTORY OF LARGE HAIL...EXTENDS ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST NEB TO ALONG
THE NEB/IA BORDER AS OF 2340Z. AS THIS ACTIVITY SPREADS FURTHER
EAST/NORTHEAST...AT LEAST AN ISOLATED THREAT MAY EXTEND INTO FAR
SOUTHEAST SD/NORTHWEST IA THIS EVENING. WITH WARM SECTOR/RICHER
THETA-E REMAINING SUFFICIENTLY SOUTH OF THE AREA...PRIMARY SEVERE
HAZARD WOULD BE LARGE HAIL. LATEST RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
POTENTIAL FOR 500-1000 J/KG ELEVATED MUCAPE...MAXIMIZED THIS EVENING
ACROSS NORTHWEST IA.

..GUYER.. 04/15/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...

43229733 43629730 43659624 43289332 42399331 42309464
42379615 42509665 

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