[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Apr 6 18:17:01 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 061816
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061815 
TXZ000-OKZ000-061945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0440
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0115 PM CDT THU APR 06 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SW OK THROUGH SW TX

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 061815Z - 061945Z

...DRYLINE BEING MONITORED FOR CONVECTIVE TRENDS ACROSS SW OK
THROUGH TX...

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BLOWING DUST WEST OF THE
DRYLINE AND BOUNDARY LAYER CUMULUS EAST. EARLY THIS AFTN...THE
DRYLINE EXTENDS FROM JUST EAST OF HBR/FDR/SNK/FST. UPPER/MID LEVEL
CIRCULATION IS SEEN ON WV LOOPS NOW APPROACHING TX PANHANDLE.
ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL BE FOCUSED NORTH OF
THE AREA...STRONG SFC HEATING COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL ASCENT FOCUSED
ON THE DRYLINE/PACIFIC FRONT MAY BE ENOUGH TO INITIATE STORMS THIS
AFTN. STEEP LAPSE RATES...COMBINED WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND
INCREASING MOISTURE INTO THE WARM SECTOR WILL FAVOR STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS...IF AND WHEN DEVELOPMENT OCCURS.

..TAYLOR.. 04/06/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

34709755 32949716 31199785 30259964 30960080 31370067
32439994 32849982 34149889 34429876 34869833 

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