[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 150212
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150211 
OKZ000-TXZ000-150315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2206
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0911 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TX AND SWRN/SCNTRL OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 790...

VALID 150211Z - 150315Z

TORNADO WATCH 790 EXPIRES AT 03Z. 

00Z H5 ANALYSIS PLACES UPPER TROUGH AXIS FROM ERN CO SWWD INTO
NCNTRL NM WITH DIFFLUENT UPPER FLOW REGIME DOWNSTREAM INTO THE TX
PNHDL...OK AND KS.  INITIAL SUPERCELL CLUSTER WEAKENED EARLIER THIS
EVENING AS IT MOVED INTO SWRN OK.  STRONGER TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED NWD
INTO CNTRL/NRN OK WHERE H5 TEMPERATURES ARE SLIGHTLY COOLER.

PRIND THAT TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE TX S PLAINS AND
MOVE ENEWD INTO NWRN TX AND SWRN OK THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
AS THE LLJ IMPINGES ON THE VARIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. ISOLD HAIL
OR GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS...BUT GIVEN THAT STRONGEST
THETA-E ADVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP FARTHER N/NE...IT APPEARS THE
HIGHER RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT WILL BE LOCATED WITHIN THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ACROSS CNTRL/NRN OK.

..RACY.. 09/15/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

33130140 34150146 34779696 34149704 33899799 33459905
32979940 32829996 

WWWW