[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 140716
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140715 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-140815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2196
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 AM CDT WED SEP 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NERN OK INTO NWRN AR TO SOUTH CENTRAL MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 788...

VALID 140715Z - 140815Z

ALTHOUGH ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
FROM SW-NE OK AND INTO SRN MO/NRN AR...OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE VALID PART OF WW 788.

REGIONAL RADARS/SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOWED SEVERAL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES HAVE MOVED S OF WW 788...WITH THESE BOUNDARIES EXTENDING
FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL MO/NRN AR BORDER REGION TO FYV...AND THEN
SWWD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL/SWRN OK.  SWLY LLJ NOSING INTO NERN OK/SWRN
MO/NWRN AR REGION WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A ZONE OF WAA ACROSS
THIS AREA...AND MAINLY N OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FOR ADDITIONAL
STORMS OVERNIGHT.  A FEW STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...GIVEN SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR...BUT
TIME OF DAY AND MODEST LLJ WILL TEND TO LIMIT THE SEVERE THREAT.

..PETERS.. 09/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...OUN...

35809711 37239318 37559154 36849156 35259709 

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