[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 121227
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121226 
WIZ000-MNZ000-121400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2175
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 AM CDT MON SEP 12 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CENTRAL/SRN MN INTO FAR WRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 121226Z - 121400Z

ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING FROM
SWRN-SOUTH CENTRAL MN TO EAST CENTRAL MN/FAR WRN WI.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL NEB WITH
AN ASSOCIATED 40 KT SWLY MID LEVEL JET NOSING INTO SRN MN ATTM. 
LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN ADVANCE OF THIS TROUGH COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL
THETAE ADVECTION ALONG THE NOSE OF A SWLY LLJ PROGGED TO TRANSLATE
ENEWD THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ACROSS MN TO FAR WRN WI.  MODERATE ELEVATED INSTABILITY PER
12Z MINNEAPOLIS SOUNDING BASED AROUND 850 MB AND MODEST DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO PROVE FAVORABLE FOR A FEW STORMS PRODUCING
HAIL THIS MORNING.

..PETERS.. 09/12/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FSD...

45369589 45909535 46319421 46559306 46339237 45159279
44209333 43909390 43809494 43759592 44689593 

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