[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 060030
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060030 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-060200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2148
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0730 PM CDT MON SEP 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL NEB/NW KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 769...

VALID 060030Z - 060200Z

...CONTINUED THREAT FOR HIGH WIND GUSTS/HAIL...

BEST AREA OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SRN EXTENT OF
MANITOBA SHORTWAVE SEEMS TO BE FOCUSED ACROSS SCNTRL NEB...WHERE
MOST OF TSTM DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN OVER THE PAST 2 HOURS. THERE ARE
SEVERAL MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES EVIDENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INCLUDING A WWD MOVING LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AXIS ACROSS WRN KS.
THIS HAS LIKELY CONTRIBUTED TO A FLARE UP OF STORMS NOW OVER SHERMAN
AND WALLACE COUNTIES. DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 30-35 KT PER
NEBRASKA PROFILER DATA/00Z NORTH PLATTE DATA WILL SUPPORT STORM
ORGANIZATION INCLUDING ISOLD SUPERCELLS...WITH A SMALL MCS EXPECTED
TO MAINTAIN ITSELF FOR A NUMBER OF HOURS ACROSS NEB THIS EVENING.
STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT STRONG/SVR TSTM WIND
GUSTS...WITH A RECENT REPORT OF 62 MPH JUST WEST OF GLD AND 70 MPH
NEAR PHELPS NEB. LARGE HAIL IS ALSO LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER CORES.

..TAYLOR.. 09/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...

38210120 38340249 39590237 41150011 41439796 39889815
38739853 38590021 

WWWW