[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 060013
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060013 
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-060215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2147
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0713 PM CDT MON SEP 05 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN DAKOTAS AND WRN/NRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 768...770...

VALID 060013Z - 060215Z

SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE ENEWD ACROSS ERN
ND...NERN SD...AND WRN/NWRN MN THIS EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL POSE
A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

WELL-DEFINED MID/UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE AND ASSOCIATED DIFFLUENT MID
LEVEL WIND MAX OF 40-50KT WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EWD ACROSS THE
DAKOTAS THIS EVENING. VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS BEING LIFTED INTO A
FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD INTENSE
TSTMS. A BOW ECHO TRACKING NEWD AT OVER 40KT ACROSS SARGENT COUNTY
ND WILL MOVE ACROSS RICHLAND COUNTY ND AND INTO WILKIN COUNTY MN
BETWEEN 0030 AND 0100 UTC. FARTHER NORTH...A LARGE COMPLEX OF STORMS
WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS EXTENDS FROM RED LAKE AND
POLK COUNTIES IN NWRN MN SWWD TO CASS AND RANSOM COUNTIES IN SERN
ND. SUPERCELL IN CNTRL CASS COUNTY ATTM APPEARS TO BE COINCIDENT
WITH SFC LOW ON A WARM FRONT EXTENDING ESEWD ACROSS WRN MN.

OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING BOTH SEVERE WIND AND LARGE HAIL AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE
EAST ACROSS CLEARWATER...MAHNOMEN...CLAY...AND BECKER COUNTIES IN
WRN MN.

..CARBIN.. 09/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...

43099656 43029944 45829879 45929895 48959790 48909444 

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