[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Oct 24 08:18:42 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 240817
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240817 
MEZ000-NHZ000-241015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2358
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0317 AM CDT MON OCT 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SRN FL INCLUDING THE FL KEYS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 837...

VALID 240817Z - 241015Z

THREAT FOR TORNADOES CONTINUES ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN FL INCLUDING THE
FL KEYS.

07Z MESOSCALE ANALYSIS SHOWED THE STALLED FRONT EXTENDED NE-SW
ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA FROM VOLUSIA COUNTY TO SARASOTA
COUNTY.  DESPITE A NARROW ZONE OF INSTABILITY /MLCAPE 500-1000 J/KG/
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FL...INCREASING 0-3 KM SRH /250-300 M2/S2/ WITH
THE APPROACH OF HURRICANE WILMA IS CONTINUING TO RESULT IN AN
ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES.  THIS HAS BEEN OBSERVED ON
REGIONAL RADARS WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF DISCRETE ROTATING STORMS
ACROSS CENTRAL/EAST CENTRAL FL.  STORMS THAT CAN MAINTAIN A MORE
DEVIANT MOTION /160-190 DEGREES/ THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE HAVE A
POTENTIAL FOR MORE PERSISTENT AND LONG-LIVED STORM ROTATION. 

LARGE HODOGRAPH CURVATURE WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR TORNADOES WITH
ANY EMBEDDED AND PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS WITHIN THE OUTER BANDS AS WILMA
APPROACHES SRN FL AND THE KEYS.

..PETERS.. 10/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

45497068 45597025 45796963 46056899 45896887 45436918
45266951 45046988 44827023 44597039 44307061 44167089
43917117 43847145 43997169 44427157 44987131 45207112 

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