[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Nov 15 21:43:23 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 152141
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152140 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-152315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2434
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0340 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IND...EXTREME SRN LWR MI AND NWRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 152140Z - 152315Z

THE TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THROUGH THIS
EVENING ACROSS NRN IND...EXTREME SRN LWR MI AND NWRN OH.  THIS AREA
WILL BE MONITORED FOR A PSBL WW.

WARMER AIR WAS WORKING NWD INTO NRN IND AND NRN OH LATE THIS AFTN AS
LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER CNTRL IL.  PER SATL/RADAR...TSTMS HAVE
INCREASED IN INTENSITY ACROSS NERN IND...WITH OTHER STORMS BEGINNING
TO STRENGTHEN OVER ECNTRL IL.  GIVEN ORIENTATION OF THE SWLY LLJ
AXIS...THE WARM AIR WILL LIKELY MAKE IT INTO SRN LWR MI LATER THIS
EVENING...WITH TSTMS DEVELOPING/MOVING RAPIDLY NEWD TOWARD SRN LWR
MI.  LOW/DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND
TORNADOES.  STORMS THAT WILL INITIALLY BE ELEVATED...WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP/EVOLVE INTO THE BOUNDARY LAYER GIVEN THE RAPIDLY MODIFYING
AIR MASS...INCREASING THE RISKS FOR TORNADOES/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..RACY.. 11/15/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...LOT...

41088698 41918512 42378397 42298310 41328320 40988438 

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