[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Nov 12 23:26:08 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 122324
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122324 
ILZ000-IAZ000-WIZ000-MNZ000-130030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2408
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0524 PM CST SAT NOV 12 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MN...WRN WI...ERN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 122324Z - 130030Z

A NEW WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY ACROSS PARTS OF ERN IA...SERN
MN...AND WRN WI WITHIN THE HOUR.

INTENSE DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT AHEAD OF EJECTING UPPER TROUGH
AND INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOW MAY RESULT IN SEVERE STORMS SPREADING
NEWD FROM CNTRL IA OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. DESPITE RELATIVELY
STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AIR MASS ACROSS THESE AREAS...GPS WATER VAPOR
INDICATES GREATER MOISTURE STREAMING NWD AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING LOW.
THIS MOISTURE COUPLED WITH STRONG FORCING AND SHEAR ON THE NOSE OF
80KT MID LEVEL WIND MAX COULD SUSTAIN ELEVATED STORMS/SUPERCELLS
WITH A WIND AND HAIL THREAT POSSIBLY TRANSITIONING NEWD ACROSS THE
MS RIVER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

..CARBIN.. 11/12/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...

42999243 44829322 44819210 44789101 41849028 40679121
40559166 

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