[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 061825
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061825 
VAZ000-WVZ000-MDZ000-OHZ000-062030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2388
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CST SUN NOV 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WV...WRN MD...NRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061825Z - 062030Z

A CONVECTIVE LINE NEAR THE OH-WV STATE-LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EWD AND WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A
WW MAY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF WV INTO NRN MD AND NRN VA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON.

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE OH VALLEY WILL QUICKLY MOVE NEWD
SPREADING STRONG ASCENT EWD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THE LINE OF
STORMS NEAR THE OH-WV STATE-LINE APPEARS TO BE FORMING JUST AHEAD OF
A BAND OF FOCUSED ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH AND A 100 KT
MID-LEVEL JET LOCATED OVER OH. AHEAD OF THE LINE...PARTIAL CLEARING
EVIDENT ON VISIBLE IMAGERY HAS RESULTED IN TEMPS WARMING INTO THE
LOWER 70S F ACROSS MOST OF WRN WV. THIS ALONG WITH THE INCREASING
ASCENT SHOULD ALLOW THE LINE TO GRADUALLY EXPAND SWD THIS AFTERNOON.
IN ADDITION... THE STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT  AND INCREASING
INSTABILITY SHOULD RESULT IN ISOLATED SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.
ALTHOUGH WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...AN
ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP WITH THE STRONGER CELLS LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AS THE STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW INCREASES.

..BROYLES.. 11/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...

39628077 39657881 39137782 38507760 37897786 37477880
37457967 37588131 38138191 39228160 

WWWW