[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 060814
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060813 
KYZ000-INZ000-060945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2381
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 AM CST SUN NOV 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IND AND WRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 060813Z - 060945Z

SRN PORTION OF THE SQUALL LINE HAS EVOLVED INTO DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
THIS MORNING.  THE 2-6KM MEAN WIND HAS LARGELY REMAINED NORMAL TO
THE LINE THROUGH THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...SUGGESTING A MIXED-MODE OF
LINE SEGMENTS AND INDIVIDUAL CELLS.  VWP/S SUGGEST VERY STRONG
LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS OWING TO A STRONG AGEOSTROPHIC RESPONSE TO
PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE LWR GRTLKS REGION.  0-1KM SRH IN EXCESS OF
340 M2/S2 HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AT LOUISVILLE.  GIVEN NEARLY 70 KTS OF
H85-H7 FLOW...MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND PRESENCE OF
SUSTAINED DISCRETE SUPERCELLS...THERE WILL BE THE THREAT FOR AN
ISOLD TORNADO OR TWO ACROSS SRN IND AND WRN KY.  OTHERWISE...A
CONTINUED DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL EXIST...ALONG WITH HAIL.

PORTIONS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 844 MAY REQUIRE AN UPGRADE TO
A TORNADO WATCH SHORTLY.

..RACY.. 11/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...

38448709 39158615 39058519 38638476 37788558 36868631
36688725 36798807 

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