[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 060738
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060738 
MIZ000-060915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2380
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0138 AM CST SUN NOV 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN LWR MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 060738Z - 060915Z

PRESSURE FALLS HAVE BEEN INCREASING ACROSS LWR MI SINCE 04Z AS
UPSTREAM POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH MIGRATES NEWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST. 
AS A RESULT...WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER HAS SURGED N INTO CNTRL LWR
MI WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-60S AND DEW POINTS IN THE
MID-50S.  NRN PORTION OF THE SQUALL LINE ACROSS SWRN LWR MI HAS
SHOWN SIGNS OF INTENSIFYING PER COOLING CLOUD TOPS IN IR SATL.

AS THE UPSTREAM IMPULSE ROTATES NEWD AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW DEEPENS
RAPIDLY ACROSS LWR MI...TSTMS SHOULD BE MAINTAINED OR COULD INCREASE
AS THEY MOVE NEWD ACROSS CNTRL/SRN LWR MI.  GIVEN THE STRONG
LOW/MID-LEVEL WIND FIELDS AND DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER...THESE
TSTMS MAY TEND TO BOW AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS.  

A SEVERE TSTM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SHORTLY.

..RACY.. 11/06/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...IWX...GRR...

41818600 42878601 43588280 42808244 41758278 

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