[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 271836
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271835 
TXZ000-NMZ000-272000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1027
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0135 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL NM AND FAR W TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAINFALL 

VALID 271835Z - 272000Z

SLOW MOVING TSTMS DEVELOPING ACROSS SCNTRL NM AND FAR W TX MAY
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY A DAMAGING WIND GUST OR
TWO.  WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

RECENT VSBL SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE CONVECTIVELY INDUCED
VORT MAX HAS MOVED NWD INTO ERN CHIHUAHUA JUST S OF THE TX BORDER. 
TSTMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN A NW-SE ORIENTED BAND JUST EAST OF THE
VORT CENTER ACROSS ERN EL PASO...HUDSPETH AND SRN CULBERSON
COUNTIES.  THESE STORMS WERE SLOWLY TRACKING NWWD...ROTATING
CYCLONICALLY AROUND THE DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTH.  GIVEN SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS/WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND THE SEASONABLY HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY VERY WELL BE
THE HIGHER SEVERE THREAT THAN WIND/HAIL.  BUT...A DAMAGING WIND GUST
MAY OCCUR WITH STRONGER STORMS THAT DEVELOP...PRIMARILY WHERE
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BECOME STEEPER ALONG THE RIO GRANDE IN
PRESIDIO/JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

..RACY.. 05/27/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

31870711 32450717 33050573 32150451 31640389 31460377
30660351 30150378 30010458 30790486 

WWWW