[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 260748
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260748 
TXZ000-NMZ000-260845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1015
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...TX PERMIAN BASIN AND SERN NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 335...

VALID 260748Z - 260845Z

THROUGH 09-10Z...POTENTIAL FOR MAINLY LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH
ONGOING STORMS OVER WRN PORTIONS OF WW AREA. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
THREAT MAY DEVELOP SWD INTO CULBERSON....REEVES AND LOVING
COUNTIES...THOUGH AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

AS OF 0733Z...MIDLAND RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO
SEVERE TSTMS OVER EDDY AND LEA COUNTIES IN SERN NM WITH MOST INTENSE
STORM /EXHIBITING MID-LEVEL ROTATION/ 10-15 MILES E OF CNM MOVING
320/15-20 KTS. CORRESPONDING MAF VWP INDICATES THAT LOW-LEVEL WAA
/NAMELY IN THE 1-3 KM AGL LAYER/ IS LARGELY SUSTAINING THIS ACTIVITY
WITHIN THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STEEP MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND RESULTANT MUCAPES OF AROUND 1500 J/KG FOR PARCELS
LIFTED ABOVE A SHALLOW NEAR-SURFACE INVERSION.

EXTRAPOLATION OF EDDY COUNTY STORM HAS IT MOVING OUT OF WW 335 PRIOR
TO 09Z. ATTM...AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER
CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

..MEAD.. 05/26/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

33450449 32930152 31620151 32160450 

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