[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 250542
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250542 
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-250715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1001
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SWRN KS...SERN CO...NWRN OK...OK
PANHANDLE...NERN TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 327...328...

VALID 250542Z - 250715Z

CONTINUE WW ALONG/AHEAD OF SEVERE MCS. SFC ANALYSIS AND WIND TRENDS
FROM REGIONAL VWP/PROFILER DATA SUGGEST LOW LEVEL MOIST AXIS IS
SHIFTING SWWD ACROSS OK -- IN RESPONSE TO PREVAILING ENELY FLOW
COVERING MUCH OF REGION NEAR SFC.  GIVEN ANTICIPATED FORWARD
PROPAGATION SPEEDS...45-60 KT STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW IS AVAILABLE TO
THIS ACTIVITY THROUGH 1-4 KM AGL LAYER.  ACCORDINGLY...MOST INTENSE
PORTION OF MCS -- CROSSING BEAVER/TX COUNTIES IN OK PANHANDLE AS OF
540Z -- SHOULD MOVE SEWD TOWARD GAG/CSM CORRIDOR -- INCLUDING NERN
TX PANHANDLE.  MAIN THREAT REMAINS DAMAGING GUSTS...THOUGH
OCCASIONAL HAIL IS POSSIBLE.

WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED PORTIONS SERN CO N-NE OF LHX. 
ACTIVITY WILL MOVE THROUGH AREA OF WAA ELEVATED OVER TOP OF MCS
OUTFLOW POOL....WHERE RUC FCST SOUNDINGS INDICATE MUCAPES AROUND
1000-1500 J/KG ARE POSSIBLE.  WHILE SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY
PRODUCE HAIL...PRIND ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL IS LIMITED.

..EDWARDS.. 05/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...

35759825 35410176 37050183 36840286 39020287 39939800
37809799 37639827 

WWWW