[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 232112
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232112 
VAZ000-NCZ000-MDZ000-232245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0973
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0412 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 314...

VALID 232112Z - 232245Z

SVR THREAT CONTINUES OVER ALL OF WW 314 FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ISOLATED SUPERCELL WILL MOVE SEWD AROUND 30 KTS THROUGH SERN VA
TOWARDS NORFOLK/NEWPORT NEWS IN THE 1-1.5 HOURS. INTERACTION OF
SUPERCELL WITH OCEAN BREEZE FRONT AND ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR /27
KTS OF 0-1 KM SHEAR PER WAKEFIELD VWP/ MAY AID IN A SHORT TERM
TORNADO THREAT OVER SURRY AND ISLE OF WRIGHT COUNTIES THROUGH 22Z
BEFORE THE SUPERCELL CROSSES INTO MORE STABLE AIR LOCATED OVER
NEWPORT NEWS/NORFOLK AREA.

FARTHER WEST...DESPITE EARLIER PRECIP...SUFFICIENT CLEARING HAS
TAKEN PLACE TO AID IN DESTABILIZATION AGAIN OVER CENTRAL VA.
ISOLATED SVR STORMS OVER WV AHEAD OF WELL DEFINED VORT MAX ARE
LIKELY TO MAINTAIN THEIR INTENSITY OR INCREASE AS THEY MOVE INTO
WCENTRAL VA AND WW 314.

..CROSBIE.. 05/23/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

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