[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 202223
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 202223 
MNZ000-NDZ000-210000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0938
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0523 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN ND...NWRN MN

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 202223Z - 210000Z

LEFT AND RIGHT SPLIT SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD AROUND 20
MPH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS SERN ND AND NWRN MN.  LIMITED
SPACIAL COVERAGE OUTSIDE OF ONGOING SEVERE PRECLUDES WW ATTM.

A BRIEF TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY WITH THE SRN STORM AS IT
MOVES FROM CASS COUNTY ND SEWD TO SRN CLAY COUNTY MN/NERN RICHLAND
COUNTY ND...AND NRN WILKIN COUNTY MN. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT WITH THE LEFT SPLIT AS IT MOVES INTO POLK...RED
LAKE...PENNINGTON COUNTIES MN AS LOW LEVEL OUTFLOW NOTED ON RADAR
CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE UPDRAFT. THESE ISOLATED SVR STORMS
ARE ANTICIPATED TO MOVE INTO A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT IN 1-2
HOURS...AS IT MOVES FARTHER EAST INTO OTTER TAIL/BECKER AND
CLEARWATER COUNTIES MN. ALTHOUGH ANOTHER ISOLATED SVR STORM MAY
DEVELOP OVER BARNES COUNTY...CAPPING REMAINS STRONGER INTO CENTRAL
ND...AND THE OVERALL LIMITED TEMPORAL/SPATIAL AREA OF THE SVR THREAT
WILL PRECLUDE A WW ISSUANCE.

..CROSBIE.. 05/20/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

48109614 47629718 47009821 46779845 46269810 46189749
46099687 46199618 47259536 47789504 48059527 48129545 

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