[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 192036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192036 
INZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-192200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0915
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0336 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AND SERN IL...SERN MO...NERN AR...EXTREME WRN
KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 288...

VALID 192036Z - 192200Z

WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY
INCREASING IN WATCH 288 OVER THE PAST HOUR. MOST INTENSE STORMS WERE
CURRENTLY SITUATED ALONG A WEAKLY CONVERGENT AND ILL-DEFINED LOW
LEVEL TROUGH AXIS FROM ECNTRL IL SWWD INTO SERN MO. INSTABILITY
WITHIN THIS ZONE WAS VERY STRONG AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO FUEL
VIGOROUS STORM UPDRAFTS. DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT
ACROSS THE REGION ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN SOMEWHAT MARGINAL FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED STORMS. HOWEVER...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS IN THIS
ENVIRONMENT WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND HIGH
WINDS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

..CARBIN.. 05/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...MEG...LSX...SGF...

40508756 38368757 35379099 37439105