[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 192050
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192050 
INZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-192215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0917
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0350 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN IA/NRN IL/SRN WI INTO NRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 290...

VALID 192050Z - 192215Z

WW 290 CONTINUES ACROSS FAR ERN IA/NRN IL/FAR SRN WI UNTIL 02Z. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS FOR AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE WATCH INTO NRN
IN. ISOLD SEVERE THREAT TO ALSO PERSIST ACROSS SRN WI NORTH OF WW
290.

SEVERE THREAT REMAINS ACROSS MUCH OF WW 290 IN SHORT TERM...WITH
MODERATE INSTABILITY REMAINING AS PRIMARY CLUSTER OF TSTMS MOVES
SEWD ALONG I-88 CORRIDOR. FURTHER EAST...SATELLITE TRENDS OVER PAST
HALF HOUR FEATURE DEEPENING CU FIELD WITH ONGOING DESTABILIZATION
ACROSS NW IND...WHERE WARM FRONT APPEARS TO WORKING NEWD 1) AHEAD OF
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY UPPER TROUGH AND 2) AROUND PERIPHERY OF
CNTRL IND ONGOING CONVECTION. ADDITIONAL WATCH MAY BE NEEDED GIVEN
DESTABILIZATION/INCREASING DYNAMIC ASCENT AND/OR POTENTIAL FOR NRN
IL TSTMS TO PROPAGATE INTO NRN IN.

ACROSS SRN WI...ISOLD SEVERE THREAT TO PERSIST OVER NEXT FEW HOURS
OWING TO MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE ALONG FRONTAL OCCLUSION. IN
ADDITION TO ISOLD LARGE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS...ENHANCED STRETCHING
INVOF FRONTAL OCCLUSION/REGION OF 100 J/KG 0-3 KM CAPE MAY CONTINUE
TO YIELD THREAT FOR ISOLD/BRIEF TORNADOES THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

..GUYER.. 05/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...GRB...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...

41969203 42309085 42539015 43139031 43709070 43978963
43918879 43278833 42838781 41898760 41528586 40278589
40538691 40469043 40289188 

WWWW