[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 182351
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182350 
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-190045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0907
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 PM CDT WED MAY 18 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE ND/WRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 286...

VALID 182350Z - 190045Z

WW 286 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 00Z...ALTHOUGH
ISOLD SEVERE MAY PERSIST OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.

LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING/MARGINAL INSTABILITY SUGGESTS SEVERE THREAT
WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH REMAINDER OF EVENING...ALTHOUGH ISOLD
SEVERE WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN SHORT TERM ACROSS SE ND/WRN MN.
CURRENT REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS IN STEVENS/SWIFT COUNTIES MINNESOTA
APPEAR TO BE OCCURRING WITH POTENTIAL STRETCHING INVOF SFC
OCCLUSION/REGION OF 100-125 J/KG 0-3 KM CAPE. WHILE SIMILAR ACTIVITY
MAY CONTINUE TO OCCUR ALONG OCCLUSION ACROSS FAR WRN MN OVER NEXT
HOUR OR TWO...THREAT SHOULD REMAIN RATHER ISOLD GIVEN LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING.

..GUYER.. 05/18/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FGF...FSD...ABR...

46709772 47179517 43369408 43239491 44129488 44239555
44689563 44669633 45959685 

WWWW