[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 120259
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120258 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-120430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0834
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0958 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IL/SRN IN/SWRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 120258Z - 120430Z

...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SVR STORMS OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS BUT TREND APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING...

LEADING EDGE OF MCS EXTENDS FROM MTO TO NEAR BLV...WITH OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ALREADY WELL SOUTH OF BLV AND ST LOUIS. PROFILER DATA FROM
BLOOMFIELD MO SHOWS WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. MAIN
THREAT ACROSS SRN IL SHOULD BE FROM GUSTY WINDS...AS SFC
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE 30-35 KT GUSTS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
FARTHER EAST ACROSS IND...FLOW IS EVEN LESS IMPRESSIVE AND LATEST
RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST STORMS ARE WEAKENING ACROSS SRN IND. ANY SVR
THREAT SHOULD BE SHORT-LIVED AND ISOLATED WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE HAIL.

..TAYLOR.. 05/12/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

38288978 39208962 40078739 40078354 38828342 38008574
37818785 

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