[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 091758
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091758 
WIZ000-MNZ000-IAZ000-091930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 PM CDT MON MAY 09 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN MN...WRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 091758Z - 091930Z

STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS ERN MN AND WRN WI THROUGH
MID-AFTERNOON. HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER CELLS. A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
REGION.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS AN UPPER-LOW OVER FAR NE SD WITH
A BAND OF STRONG ASCENT SPREADING NEWD BEHIND A DRY SLOT MOVING
ACROSS SRN MN AND CNTRL IA. AS TEMPS CONTINUE TO HEAT UP ALONG AND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SEWD ACROSS SRN MN...CELLS SHOULD
INITIATE AND MOVE NWD ACROSS THE REGION. ALTHOUGH...DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WILL ONLY BE IN THE 25 TO 30 KT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON...ENOUGH
INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE
MULTICELLS WITH HAIL THE MAIN THREAT. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS WRN WI AND FAR ERN MN WHERE OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS 0-2 KM LAPSE RATES EXCEEDING OF 7.0 C/KM.

..BROYLES.. 05/09/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...ARX...MPX...FGF...

44069282 44989380 45709549 46439542 46819455 46769297
45739124 44789047 43669064 43399230 

WWWW