[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 090210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090210 
TXZ000-090315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0787
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0910 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTH TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 237...

VALID 090210Z - 090315Z

ACROSS WW 237...SUPERCELL CONTINUES TO PROGRESS SSE ALONG COASTAL
SHORE SOUTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI. OVER THE PAST 15-30 MINUTES PRIOR TO
02Z...VOLUMETRIC RADAR DATA/INFRARED SATELLITE TRENDS FEATURE
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WWD ALONG SWD PROPAGATING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
INTO THE FALFURRIAS/HEBBRONVILLE AREAS. PER MODIFIED 00Z CRP
RAOB...AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY REMAINS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH SFC TEMPS HOLDING IN THE 80S. THUS SEVERE THREAT
PERSISTS ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF WW 237 IN THE SHORT TERM.
ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF WW 237 /ROUGHLY FROM CORPUS CHRISTI W AND
NW/...OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS EFFECTIVELY STABILIZED BOUNDARY LAYER
WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT NOT EXPECTED.

WITH PRIMARY SUPERCELL NOW OFFSHORE SOUTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI...AND IF
THIS ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT INLAND REMAINS WEAK/DISORGANIZED OVER
NEXT HOUR OR TWO...WW 237 MAY ULTIMATELY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO 04Z
EXPIRATION.

..GUYER.. 05/09/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...BRO...

27549916 27439802 27499737 27889669 26779656 26779661
26589800 26729897 27029927 

WWWW