[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 312318
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312317 
LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-010115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0464
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0517 PM CST THU MAR 31 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SCENTRAL/SERN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 312317Z - 010115Z

ISOLATED SVR STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS MAY DEVELOP
FROM THE I-35 CORRIDOR BETWEEN AUS/SAT IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. IF
COVERAGE CONTINUES TO INCREASE...A SMALL WW MAY BE NEEDED SOUTH OF
WW 115.

LATEST VIS IMAGERY SHOWS TOWERING CU NOW FROM AUS TO SAT ALONG SFC 
TROUGH. INCREASING WNWLY FLOW TO THE WEST OF DRYLINE/TROUGH WILL AID
IN SUFFICIENT CONVERGENCE...THAT GIVEN WEAK CINH...ISOLATED SVR
STORMS MAY DEVELOP WITHIN THIS ACTIVITY IN THE NEXT HOUR. AREA
REMAINS RELATIVELY DISPLACED FROM STRONGER UPPER LEVEL
FORCING/COLDER TEMPERATURES ALOFT...AND GIVEN WEAK STORM RELATIVELY
INFLOW INTO THIS AREA...CONVECTION MAY END UP WEAKENING WITHIN AN
HOUR OR TWO OF SUNSET BEFORE APPROACHING THE HOU METRO AREA. TRENDS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

..CROSBIE.. 03/31/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...OUN...

31119716 31979718 32829704 33779659 33779585 33509454
33099425 32039399 30829411 

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