[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 311253
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 311253 
SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-311400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0454
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 AM CST THU MAR 31 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN MS...CNTRL/SRN AL...CNTRL/SRN GA...WRN
SC...WRN FL PNHDL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 112...

VALID 311253Z - 311400Z

WS 112 EXPIRES AT 14Z. THERE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE DAMAGING
WIND AND HAIL THREATS THROUGH LATE MORNING CNTRL/SRN AL INTO GA AND
ANOTHER WW IS BEING CONSIDERED.

09Z RUC SUGGESTS THAT MAIN CORE OF THE H85 JET SHIFTS NEWD INTO ERN
AL AND WRN GA THROUGH 15Z.  THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD BECOME
INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT ACROSS THE LOWER MS VLY AS HEIGHT FALLS
INCREASE UPSTREAM ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AHEAD OF THE NEXT H5 TROUGH.
 THIS MAY LESSEN THE SEVERE/TSTM RISK WITH TIME THIS MORNING ACROSS
SRN MS.  BUT...FAVORABLE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR PROFILES WILL EXIST
DOWNSTREAM INTO CNTRL/SRN AL AND PARTS OF GA TO CONTINUE THE
HAIL/WIND RISKS THROUGH LATE MORNING.

..RACY.. 03/31/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...

34088639 33918487 33808344 33838198 33468156 32548219
31968403 30998616 30748823 30848917 31508922 32098888 

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