[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 310653
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310653 
GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-310830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0451
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1253 AM CST THU MAR 31 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MS...CNTRL/SRN AL AND WRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 310653Z - 310830Z

A NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR PARTS OF SRN MS INTO
SRN/CNTRL AL.  

05Z JACKSON SOUNDING STILL SHOWED 2310 J/KG MUCAPE AND 0-6KM SHEAR
OF 52 KTS.  LATEST RADAR SHOWED TSTMS BACKBUILDING SWWD FROM WCNTRL
AL INTO SCNTRL MS AS STRONG WARM ADVECTION PROFILE CONTINUES ALONG
SRN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-MS VLY UPPER LOW.  FLOW REGIME WILL
GRADUALLY VEER WITH TIME...BUT AIR MASS REMAINS PRIMED FOR TSTMS. 
MAGNITUDE OF LAPSE RATES AND SHEAR SUGGESTS THAT VERY LARGE HAIL
COULD DEVELOP FROM SUSTAINED TSTMS ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS.  TSTMS
WILL LIKELY BE LARGELY ELEVATED...BUT AN ISOLD TORNADO COULD OCCUR
WITH ANY STORM THAT CAN ROOT LOWER INTO THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER. 
TSTMS WILL LIKELY MOVE/DEVELOP EWD INTO PARTS OF WRN GA WITH
WIND/HAIL THREATS POSSIBLE.

..RACY.. 03/31/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

31439090 32658962 33118858 33388734 33068597 32718445
32288425 31978571 31348729 30938896 31089081 31179101 

WWWW