[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 250756
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250755 
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-250930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0383
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 AM CST FRI MAR 25 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA AND NRN FL INCLUDING THE PNHDL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 250755Z - 250930Z

ISOLD LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN WITH THE TSTMS
DEVELOPING ACROSS SRN GA AND NRN FL THROUGH SUNRISE.  A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED ATTM.

WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO REDEVELOP NWD THROUGH CNTRL FL AHEAD OF A
SPEED MAX EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SUBTROPICAL WLYS.  STRONG THETA-E
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THIS WAVE HAS BEEN SUFFICIENT IN GENERATING TSTMS
ACROSS THE NERN GULF AND NRN FL.  A STRONG LEFT-MOVING SPLIT HAS
BEEN LONG-LIVED AND WILL MOVE INTO NCNTRL FL THROUGH 09Z...WITH
OTHER SPLITS OCCURRING WEST OF KTLH.

MORE STORMS ARE APT TO FORM ACROSS NRN FL AND SRN GA THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. ELEVATED CAPE AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP A
LARGE HAIL THREAT GOING WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.  BUT...ISOLD
NATURE TO THE THREAT WILL PRECLUDE A WW ATTM.

IF STORMS SHOW MORE ORGANIZATION OR IF THE HAIL THREAT BECOMES
GREATER...A WW MIGHT BE REQUIRED.

..RACY.. 03/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...MOB...

30668706 31688399 31718286 31738140 31418061 30208041
28358037 27728261 

WWWW