[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 231547
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231546 
FLZ000-231615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0365
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0946 AM CST WED MAR 23 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 75...

VALID 231546Z - 231615Z

NEW WW NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR CENTRAL INTO SRN FL.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED AT 1530Z A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING
FROM SEMINOLE COUNTY SWWD TO OFF THE COAST AT CHARLOTTE COUNTY. 
ADDITIONAL INTENSE CONVECTION WAS LOCATED OFFSHORE OVER THE ERN
GULF.  REGIONAL RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALSO SHOWED A
WEAKENING COLD POOL IN THE WAKE OF THE INLAND LINE OF STORMS.  THIS
COMBINED WITH VEERING SURFACE WINDS AHEAD OF THE LINE ACROSS ERN AND
SRN FL SUGGESTS FORCING FOR DEEP CONVECTION IS MARGINAL.  ALTHOUGH
INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED
STORMS...OVERALL SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THE REST OF ERN INTO SRN FL
APPEARS TO BE LIMITED AT THIS TIME.  AREA WILL...HOWEVER...REQUIRE
CONTINUED MONITORING SINCE CIN HAS BEEN WEAKENING ACROSS SRN FL
WHERE VISIBLE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW CONVECTIVE SHOWERS HAVE ALREADY
DEVELOPED.

..PETERS.. 03/23/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

27218251 27398183 28358146 28378047 27208010 26128007
25628023 25598100 25728143 25858180 26738245 

WWWW