[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 230139
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230139 
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-230215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0353
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0739 PM CST TUE MAR 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FL PNHDL...SWRN GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 69...

VALID 230139Z - 230215Z

CLOUD TOP WARMING AND GENERAL DECREASE IN RADAR REFLECTIVELY
SUGGESTS THAT TORNADO WATCH 69 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT THE TOP
OF THE HOUR. ONE EXCEPTION IS PARTICULARLY LONG-LIVED CELL NOW
TRACKING ACROSS WEDGE FRONT OVER DOUGHERTY COUNTY AND TOWARD LEE
COUNTY GA. THIS STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INGEST RELATIVELY
COOL/STABLE AIR ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE FRONT OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR
SO BUT COULD STILL PRODUCE HAIL.

AIR MASS ACROSS THE FL PNHDL AND SWRN GA HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT
STABILIZED BY WIDESPREAD CONVECTION THIS EVENING. ADDITIONALLY...
THE REGION IS BETWEEN STRONGER LARGE SCALE FORCING TO THE WEST...AND
INTENSE MCS TO THE EAST...CURRENTLY MOVING OVER NRN FL. MOIST WARM
SECTOR WILL REMAIN SITUATED ACROSS THE REGION AND AIR MASS RECOVERY
IS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AS UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT APPROACH
FROM THE WEST. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL APPEARS TO
HAVE DIMINISHED IN THE SHORT-TERM...OTHER WATCHES CANNOT BE RULED
OUT OVERNIGHT.

..CARBIN.. 03/23/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

30978535 31198438 31758367 31738316 29728324 29728527 

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