[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 221339
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221338 
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-221445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0336
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 AM CST TUE MAR 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN LA...S-CENTRAL-SERN MS...SRN AL...FL
PANHANDLE...SWRN GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 63...

VALID 221338Z - 221445Z

WW 64 IS BEING ISSUED E OF WW 63 FOR INCREASING TORNADIC SUPERCELL
POTENTIAL...ASSOCIATED WITH COASTAL FRONT NOW ANALYZED JUST OFFSHORE
AL AND WRN/CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE.  

STRENGTHENING CONVECTION N OF COASTAL FRONT ACROSS FL PANHANDLE...SE
AL AND SW GA STILL APPEARS ELEVATED...BASED ON MODIFIED TLH RAOB AND
RUC FCST SOUNDINGS.  HOWEVER...COMBINATION OF WAA...INLAND FRONTAL
PENETRATION...AND A FEW DEG F OF SFC DIABATIC HEATING WILL
SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE SFC-BASED BUOYANCY TO 1000-1500 J/KG RANGE. 
MEANWHILE...200-300 J/KG 0-3 KM SRH AND 50-60 KT 0-6 KM AGL SHEARS
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS IN AIR MASS E OF MAJOR CONVECTIVE
BAND NOW OVER SRN MS.  SEVERE WIND/HAIL AND BOW ECHO TORNADO REMAIN
POSSIBLE WITH LATTER ACTIVITY ALSO AS IT MOVES ACROSS SRN MS/AL.

..EDWARDS.. 03/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

32308637 31648317 29378335 30228663 

WWWW