[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 192128
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192127 
TXZ000-192300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0310
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 PM CST SAT MAR 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 53...

VALID 192127Z - 192300Z

...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP/SPREAD INTO ERN PORTIONS OF WW IN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...

ONGOING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY APPEARS HAMPERED BY RELATIVELY WEAK
LOW LEVEL SHEAR/FORCING.  RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST LIMITED INFLOW INTO
UPDRAFT REGION...THUS LIFETIME CYCLE HAS BEEN REDUCED TO MOSTLY
PULSE-TYPE CONVECTION. NWD-DRIFTING CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SOON SPREAD INTO SERN PORTIONS OF WW AS REMNANTS OF EARLY AFTERNOON
CLUSTER PROPAGATES SLOWLY EWD ACROSS BURNET/BLANCO COUNTIES. 
STRONGEST UPDRAFTS WILL BE THOSE THAT CAN MANAGE TO DEVELOP ALONG
OUTFLOW WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS MOST BUOYANT.

WILL MONITOR COASTAL PLAINS OF TX FOR POSSIBLE WW.

..DARROW.. 03/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

28149885 30389850 31019667 29389625 28659752 

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