[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 162123
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162122 
FLZ000-162245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0301
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0322 PM CST WED MAR 16 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND CENTRAL FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 51...

VALID 162122Z - 162245Z

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF WW AREA -- WITH GREATEST
ONGOING THREAT INVOF THE ATLANTIC COAST ATTM.

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO REVEAL SEVERAL COMPACT /
LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELL STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF ERN FL AND THE IMMEDIATE
COASTAL WATERS ATTM...FROM ROUGHLY ST. JOHNS COUNTY SWD TO ORANGE /
BREVARD COUNTIES.  STRONGEST OF THESE STORMS EXIST ATTM FROM 10 WNW
ORL TO 20 SE DAB...WITH A COUPLE OF THESE CELLS REVEALING FAIRLY
PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL ROTATION.

THOUGH ADDITIONAL STORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE FROM THE ERN
GULF...GREATEST SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS ERN FL.  IN
ADDITION TO STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND UP TO 500 J/KG MEAN-LAYER
CAPE...VEERED / SWLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW OVER LAND IS CONTRIBUTING
TO GREATER LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST...THUS
FAVORING STORM INTENSIFICATION OVER ERN PORTIONS OF WW.

..GOSS.. 03/16/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

29818197 30138141 28578057 28258062 27288022 27598246
28488255 

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