[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 302305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302305 
VAZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-010030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1561
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0605 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WV / PARTS OF NERN KY INTO FAR SWRN OH / WRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 564...

VALID 302305Z - 010030Z

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF WW...THOUGH A SLOW DECREASE
IN INTENSITY SHOULD CONTINUE.

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN AN ARC ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM WRN PA
SWD INTO SRN WV AND THEN WWD ACROSS ERN KY.  IN THE PAST HOUR...NEW
CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG WRN EXTENSION OF THIS OUTFLOW...FROM
CENTRAL KY NWD INTO FAR SWRN OH JUST W OF WW.

ASIDE FROM NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG WRN EXTENTION OF
OUTFLOW...STORMS HAVE SHOWN A SLOW DECREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE
PAST 1 TO 2 HOURS.  THOUGH THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...A LIMITED /
LOW-END SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST WITH A COUPLE OF THE STRONGER
STORMS AS CONVECTION MOVES SWD ACROSS ERN KY / SEWD INTO WRN
PORTIONS OF VA.

THOUGH STORMS ALONG WRN EXTENSION OF OUTFLOW MAY ALSO POSE A LIMITED
SEVERE THREAT...STORMS SHOULD WEAKEN AS THEY DRIFT EWD / BECOME
FURTHER UNDERCUT BY COOL OUTFLOW AIR.  ATTM...WE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR ONGOING STORMS...THOUGH ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED. 
IN ADDITION...WE MAY BE ABLE TO CANCEL WW 564 PRIOR TO ITS SCHEDULED
01/03Z EXPIRATION AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SURGES THROUGH REMAINING
COUNTIES WITHIN WW.

..GOSS.. 06/30/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

39318434 38458401 37598287 37578199 38128130 39008037
39237992 38637930 38167947 37318029 36758161 36688264
36848387 37248425 38048474 39038489 

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